Awards Predictions

90

Update: Nov 1

Best Picture

LOCKED:
01. Dunkirk
02. Call Me By Your Name
03. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
04. The Shape of Water

LOOKING GOOD
05. The Post
06. Get Out
07. Lady Bird

PROBABLY IN:
08. The Florida Project
09. The Darkest Hour

10&BELOW
10. I, Tonya
11. Mudbound
12. The Big Sick
13. Phantom Thread
14. The Disaster Artist
15. Blade Runner 2049

Best Directing
01. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
02. Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name
03. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
04. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
05. Steven Spielberg, The Post

Next in Line: Sean Baker (The Florida Project), Jordan Peele (Get Out), Joe Wright (Darkest Hour), Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread), Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)

Best Actor in a Leading Role
01. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
02. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
03. Daniel Day-Lewis, Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson
04. Tom Hanks, The Post
05. James Franco, The Disaster Artist

alternatives: Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger

Best Actress in a Leading Role
01. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
02. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
03. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
04. Meryl Streep, The Post
05. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

alt: Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul). Followed by Jessica Chastain (Molly’s Game) , Annette Bening (Film Stars Don’t in Liverpool) and Vicky Krieps (The Phantom Thread)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
01. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
02. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
03. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
04. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
05. Mark Rylance, Dunkirk

alt: Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water), Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
01. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
02. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
03. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
04.  Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
05. Melissa Leo, Novitiate (FIGHTING FOR YOU, PEOPLE JUST NEED TO SEE THE THING)

alt: Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)— would equally be the most undeserved and annoying nomination of all time, Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)
01. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
02. The Post
03. Get Out
04. Lady Bird
05. The Shape of Water – exactly how safe is it here?

alt: I, Tonya (getting dangerously close to having it in, just a matter of time), Phantom Thread,  The Big Sick,  Darkest Hour

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
01. Call Me By Your Name
02. Molly’s Game
03. Mudbound
04. The Disaster Artist
05. Last Flag Flying (one contender drops to adapted, and this likely can scootch on out)

alt: The Death of Stalin (if it gets an awards qualifying run, it’s in)

 

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